June 2023 Newsletter

A Word from our President

Shawna

by – Shawna Granman-Fenix Heating & Cooling

Summer is finally here. I hope everyone is capitalizing on this wonderful warm weather and has a profitable summer.

I would like to thank all of you for your continued support as I transition out of the role as your KCCA president, and we welcome in our new president next month.

This month’s guest speaker will be Darrell Bogner to speak about Illustrated Code Violations, this meeting could potentially be a 1 hour code CEU.  Pleas be sure to RSVP via our website, no more call in reservations.  Bring your business cards for the $100 drawing and Noah will have some door prizes.  RSVP on-line @ kccaks.com

Please feel free to email or call Shawna at (316) 945-4842 or shawnag@fenixheat.com with any concerns or questions.


Education

Thank you to everyone who attended this years Spring classes.  Be on the look out to see class dates for the Fall coming out soon.


KCCA $500 TOOL SCHOLARSHIP
The board revised the Tool Scholarship a little. KCCA wants the employee to be working for the KCCA member for 3 months before they are eligible for the $500 tool Scholarship. So in short the employee or employer need to submit application and proof of graduation from one of our local trade school after the employee has worked for them for 3 months.


May’s General Meeting

Thank you Noah Roberts with Honeywell for coming out and giving us a great presentation on the different Honeywell products and how they work.

Congratulations to Seth Dillman, he was the winner of $100 cash.  

Hope to see you @ future meetings!! All general meetings are held on the 3rd Thursday of every month except August & December.


2022-2023 Meetings

 
June 15th               Darrell Bogner(Possible CEU) @ Scotch
                               RSVP on website @  kccaks.com
July 20th                Planning meeting-Free Lunch @ Scotch
                               RSVP on website @  kccaks.com

This list is subject to change due to speakers not able to make the date we have selected for them.

2023 Summer Weather Forecast

HVACR contractors should prepare for a potential hot, dry summer

By Hannah Belloli

*Predictions may vary from expert to expert and are subject to change.*

No matter the area in which an HVACR contractor is located, the summer heat is coming. There’s a lot of talk about whether or not this summer will be an El Niño summer or a La Niña summer. But one things for sure, it’s gonna be a hot one.

HEATING UP: The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts above normal temperatures for most of the country this summer. (Courtesy of The Old Farmer’s Almanac)

La Niña generally, in the cold season, is supposed to produce more precipitation in the north and less in the south, but that didn’t happen in California this year — which means HVACR contractors may have to prepare for a dry, hot summer.

PRECIPITATION: HVACR contractors may need to prepare for more dry than wet heat. (Courtesy of NOAA Climate Prediction Center)

“Right now in the eastern equatorial Pacific, El Niño is coming on fierce,” said Paul Pastelok, senior meteorologist and lead U.S. long-range forecaster at AccuWeather. “The water depths are warming very quickly, which may result in this year being officially named an El Niño year.”

Scott Handel, meteorologist for NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, said NOAA sees a 70-80% chance of an El Niño in June, July, and August, and the probability only increases later in the summer season.

MAY-JULY: NOAA predicts above normal and equal chances of summer temperature May-July. (Courtesy of The Old Farmer’s Almanac)

Sarah Perreault, senior editor of  The Old Farmer’s Almanac, said her publication’s experts predict La Niña replacing the current neutral-to-weak El Niño, which  The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicted for the 2022 winter weather forecast. This means hurricane season, beginning on June 1, fortunately might not be as eventful as year’s past.

Right now, whether it’ll turn out to be an El Niño or a La Niña type of summer, summer temperatures are predicted to be above normal around the country. So HVACR contractors are going to have their work cut out for them.

Northeast

Summer temperatures are expected to be above normal with slightly above-normal rainfall, with exceptionally hot periods expected in early and mid-July as well as early-August, said& Perreault.

Pastelok said that it might be a struggle for this region to transition into that consistent hot summer weather. It could be a slower start.

“For pool lovers, it may be a little tough in the beginning if you don’t have a heater,” Pastelok said. “But if you’re going outside and doing some work, since it’s been so unsettled, it should be quite pleasant at times, especially in the evening hours, as we should see some cooler air masses from time to time still come down in June.”

Atlantic Corridor

Temperatures are predicted to be warmer than normal with above-normal precipitation, with some of its hottest periods happening mid-July as well as early to mid-August, said Perreault.

Appalachians

Temperatures are expected to be above normal with below-normal precipitation with the hottest temperatures expected in mid-July, Perreault said.

Southeast

Pastelok projects some wet periods in this region and unsettled weather in the first half of the summer.

“Our wettest areas have been from the lower Mississippi Valley up through the Tennessee Valley, but we could see a lot more wetness coming into the Carolina’s and parts of Georgia and northern Florida,” Pastelok said

Perreault said temperatures are projected to be slightly above normal, with some of the hottest periods in mid- to late June and again in early July, and below-normal rainfall.

Florida

Temperatures are expected to be slightly above normal with below-normal rainfall, with some extremely hot periods in early and mid-June as well as mid-August, Perreault said.

Lower Lakes

Temperatures are expected to be warmer than normal, and rainfall is expected to be below-normal in the eastern part of this region but near normal in the western part. Perreault said the lower lakes will experience their hottest periods in mid-July and then again in early and late August.

Ohio Valley and Midwest

As far as severe weather goes, the AccuWeather forecast predicts the worst of the severe weather may be west of this region in the Midwest and Mississippi Valley.

“But I do think it will come in on occasion. And it may be a little rougher in July,” Pastelok said.

Perreault said  The Old Farmer’s Almanac expects warmer and wetter than normal temperatures, with the hottest parts of the summer in late June to mid to late July.

Deep South

Perreault predicts a warmer and wetter than normal summer, with some hot periods in mid to late-June, and then again in mid to late-July.

“They are also expecting a possible tropical storm in mid- to late August. Possible,” Perrault said.

Upper Midwest

A warmer and wetter summer is predicted, with some of its hottest periods in late June and then again in early and late August, Perreault said.

Heartland

Temperatures will be hotter and drier than normal, with the hottest periods expected in mid- to late June, mid-July, and early and late August, Perreault said.

Texas-Oklahoma-Kansas, and Nebraska

According to Pastelok, periods of heat can dryness can be expected, but it’ll be a bit unsettled across Kansas and Nebraska at times.

“That battleground between the cooler air east and that warm, hot air in the Southwest doesn’t bode well,” Pastelok said. “I think it actually increases the severe weather threat for that region in June and July, especially for the central Plains.”

Perreault said to expect some of the hottest temperatures in this region in late June, early to mid-July, and late August, with a possible tropical storm threat in late July and then again in mid- to late August.

High Plains

This region can expect a hotter and drier than normal summer, with some of the hottest temperatures in mid-June, early July, and early August, Perreault said.

Handel said that in the southern high plains, the soil moisture is currently below normal, which leads NOAA to have a higher confidence of above-normal temperatures in this region, with probabilities ranging from 50-60%.

Intermountain

“Temperatures are expected to be cooler than normal with above-average rainfall in the north part of this region and below normal in the south,” Perreault said. “Their hottest periods will be in mid to late-July and early August.”

Desert Southwest

Temperatures are expected to be hotter than normal with slightly above-normal rainfall. The hottest temperatures are expected to be in early and mid-June and then again in early and late-July, Perreault said.

Pastelok said for this region, AccuWeather looks at when the monsoon starts, and this year looks later start, much later than the last two years and slightly later than the normal (around July 3 for southern Arizona). He doesn’t predict it will be as big as the monsoons from the last two years. He also predicts that fire season will continue a few weeks longer than the last couple of years.

“And then the monsoon will come in sporadic throughout New Mexico, Arizona, and southern Colorado, ending the wildfire threat late summer for this region,” he said.

Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies

Handel said NOAA is forecasting a 40 to 50% chance of above-normal temperatures in this region, covering the entire state of Oregon and Washington, and adjacent areas of the Northern Rockies and Northern California.

Pastelok said this region is a ridiculously tricky forecast going forward because of the water temperatures off the West coast.

“There’s even discrepancies and talks in our own long-range team about what’s going to materialize in the northwest and a lot of it is dictated by the water temperatures in the Northern Pacific,” Pastelok said. “They are really cool right now for this time of year.”

All this means that while areas east of the Cascades get hotter, it probably won’t happen as quickly in the big northwest cities.

But east of the cascades, Pastelok projects it heating up pretty quickly in mid- to late July and continuing all the way through August. He also predicts wildfires breaking out pretty significantly in this area, including Montana.

“I do believe that zone is under risk for higher wildfire threat here in the late summer — hotter and drier than normal conditions — and that’s something to look out for,” Pastelok said.

Perreault said it’s forecasted to be a wetter-than-normal summer.

Pacific Southwest

Temperatures will be slightly below normal along the coast, and warmer than normal inland, with the hottest periods in mid-June and early and late July. Rainfall in this region is expected to be above normal in the south and near normal in the north, Perreault said.

Handel said for most of California and a lot of the Great Basin, (which includes most of Nevada and Utah), NOAA is favoring above-normal temperatures at a 33-40% confidence.

Alaska

Handel said NOAA has the highest confidence in the forecast of the southern part of the state, favoring the chance of above-normal temperatures at 40-50%.

“We also have relatively higher confidence for the North Slope, which is partially due to reduced sea ice extent this year … which might allow that part of Alaska to be a bit milder than usual,” Handel said.

Perreault said this region will experience a warmer-than-normal summer with above-normal precipitation, with the hottest temperatures in early and late July.

Hawaii

Perreault said  The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts above-normal rainfall and slightly above-normal temperatures, with the hottest periods happening in early August.


Funny Photos


risk management corner

Educating Your Employees on the Importance of Cyber Security 

Did you know that approximately 88 percent of data breaches result from human error? 1 As business owners, you know that your company is safer when your employees understand their respective roles and responsibilities in keeping confidential information, and themselves, safe.

Have You Reviewed Your Cyber Security Risk Management Plan?

Focusing on the human defense side of cyber security is critical in our evolving digital world. It is important to increase your employee’s understanding of cyber threats targeting them both at work and at home. When reviewing your cyber risk management plan, you and your team should consider:

 Understanding and following cyber security best practices

 Identifying and assessing cyber risk exposures

 Creating and communicating cyber security policies  Training employees on cyber security, and leveraging a simulated phishing tool such as KnowBe4

 Regularly re-evaluating your cyber security program

Cyber security education and risk management starts at the top with you. Reach out to your local Federated® marketing representative for more information on how to arm your employees with information to help prevent harmful cyber trends from impacting your business.

For additional cyber risk management resources, access mySHIELD®, Federated’s personalized, online destination for risk management resources to help support your business.

Stanford Research: 88% of Data Breaches Are Caused by Human Error. https://blog.knowbe4.com/88-percent-of-data-breaches-are-caused-byhuman-error/ Accessed 3/14/23.